First Post: Monday, January 21, 2013

Bad day for Irish (not Notre Dotre) QBs yesterday, eh?

Well, Ryan did what he could. Brady was not the Brady-standard. It happens.

Free ones: Rundown…

Beulah (Aqueduct no good again) 7
Gulf 4, 6, 7, 9, 10
Santa Anita 4, 5, 8

Pay-side: Today…

Laurel 3, 7, 8
Oaklawn 3, 4, 7, 9
Sam Houston 8, 10
Turf Paradise 1, 3, 7, 9

Today’s Stakes Pageantry: Aqueduct might be no good lately (or at least in the throes of a dearth of eligible 8-1 shots or higher on the morning line), but we go for a straight-up upset anyway in Race 7, the Winkfield: #4 In the Fairway.

Opposite dynamic in full effect in Santa Anita 2, the San Pedro. Remember the “San Pedro Beach Bums” TV series? “Football, you bet!” They also did an episode where one of the boysz had to become a makeshift jockey. Pioneering broadcast, that, way ahead of its time. The shows these days are not so well-constructed. Unless, of course, you prefer spending hours and hours thinking about everything the producers and directors are asking you to believe. And it is a lot! And then hashing it out over the watercooler with your like-minded colleagues, or even going online to discuss the heavy significance of everything you just saw on your hi-def monitor. In which case, well, hey, TV is better than never before. We report. You decide. But back to the San Pedro, it’s all #1 Distinctiv Passion.

And if you like that sort of odds-on issue, here’s another at Santa Anita, this time in the seventh, the Grade II Santa Ynez. No TV shows were named after her, not in this country, at least. It’s all #8 Beholder.

Laurel 8 on the pay-side.

Before that, Laurel 6, the Fire Plug (great Mid-Atlantic sprinter in the late-’80s), finds more chalk in #2 Immortal Eyes. Hey, sometimes it’s chalky out there.

Yesterday’s Activity: If you’re going to go one-for-the-day, you may as well make it a memorable one. And so it was in Race 9 at the Gulf (again!) on Sunday. It was a contentious event, even with 6-5 morning line and 6-5 actual fave Sly Warrior in the lineup. Yes, the ’Warrior was top of the V6 Betting Line but only sixth in LifeLiner, on which he had a measly 75.

The fair-odds dynamic was contentious through-and-through, with ’Warrior starting at 3½-1 and two others at 4-1 and 5-1. And then penultimately bottom, on the Betting Line, anyway, was Prize Informant.

Prize Informant, 12-1 on the morning line and sent off as the longest shot in your eight-horse field at 35-1. Prize Informant, not fancied by the Betting Line, but at least in with a shout on LifeLiner, second-rated there with an 83, above the 80-minimum guideline.

Prize Informant, taking the prize at $73.20. Oh Carol, 2-1 second-choice in the actual wagering and top-rated on LifeLiner, completed the $258 perfector. Favored Sly Warrior, easily ignored at miserly odds and a general lack of backing from both the fair-odds dynamic and the LifeLiner, had a bad start, but it might not have mattered; at least it didn’t this time. But that’s OK. At yesterday’s odds, we can lose the next 30 runnings of this race and still come out in decent shape.

WMF Report:

Early
Aqueduct 6f
Gulf 6f
Keystone 5½f, 6f, 1m
Turf Paradise 6f

Nocturnal Submission: Night off…

Thank you. “Tuesday Sniping” tomorrow, “Father God” willing. Until such time, it’s goodbye. Take care now.

About Steven Unite

The unofficial spokesperson for the Boys In The Backroom...
This entry was posted in News, Picks, Stakes, WMF and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to First Post: Monday, January 21, 2013

  1. KGreen says:

    10TH GP.-#2 TIZ MOE——–Free Tout
    When I saw the trainer Mike Lightner, Man what memories, He’s a Winchester ALE 8 drinker ,Somewhat kin thru marriage. My wife bought a T’bred from him to ride, He took her from Winchester to the KY River before she could get Him stopped. Then sold him. What was interesting was the Golden Oak {owners}, have a friend who’s family used to race by that name years ago. Seems this is the only horse G.O. has. Lightner did beat me by a lip at GP on the 13th with a pretty nice one both were 7/1. Forgot the name, but owner is F. Pace another Ale 8 drinker & a good Guy. Maybe Lightner is back in the biz. He used to be partnered up with Bill Helmbrecht, I saw him win one at Beulah & could not believe how big he was. Anyway I’ll keep an eye out————THANKS

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.