{"id":7921,"date":"2014-12-20T00:53:34","date_gmt":"2014-12-20T08:53:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/?p=7921"},"modified":"2014-12-20T00:53:34","modified_gmt":"2014-12-20T08:53:34","slug":"first-post-saturday-december-20-2014","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/2014\/12\/20\/first-post-saturday-december-20-2014\/","title":{"rendered":"First Post: Saturday, December 20, 2014"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/H5FtyEaAR3k\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>First day of Winter is tomorrow&#8230;until then, this&#8230; <!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cynthiapublishing.com\/pick.html\">Free<\/a> ones<\/strong>: Rundown&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Gulfstream Park Proper<\/strong> 2, <em>4<\/em>, 5, <em>6<\/em>, <em>7<\/em>, <em>8<\/em>, <em>9<\/em>, <em>10<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Los Alamitos Thoroughbreds<\/strong> (Daytime) 4, 9<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pay-side<\/strong>: Today&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fair Grounds<\/strong> 3, <em>5<\/em>, 7, 11, <em>12<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Hawthorne<\/strong> <em>9<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Laurel<\/strong> 1, <em>4<\/em>, <em>5<\/em>, <em>7<\/em>, 9<br \/>\n<strong>Sunland<\/strong> 5, <em>6<\/em>, 7, <em>8<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Tampa<\/strong> 2, 5, 6, <em>7<\/em>, <em>10<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Turfway<\/strong> 1, <em>3<\/em>, 4, <em>5<\/em>, 6, 7, <em>8<\/em>, <em>9<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Turf Paradise<\/strong> 3, <em>4<\/em>, 5<\/p>\n<p><strong>Today&rsquo;s Stakes Pageantry<\/strong>: <strong>Gulfstream 8<\/strong>, <strong>10<\/strong> on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cynthiapublishing.com\/pick.html\">free<\/a> page. On the pay-side it&rsquo;s <strong>Turfway 6<\/strong> and <strong>Turf Paradise 4<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>A shout to <strong>#2 Country Mamma<\/strong> in <strong>Chas. Town 8<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Looks down to <strong>#6 Knockitdownhard<\/strong> and <strong>#3 Cole&rsquo;s Magic Vow<\/strong> in <strong>Delta 8<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, the <strong>two obvious horseys<\/strong> dominate the <strong>Fair Grounds opener<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Here&rsquo;s an oddity: the <strong>odds-on morning-line fave<\/strong> coupled with the <strong>rank outsider<\/strong> in the same race. That&rsquo;s in <strong>Los Alamitos Thoroughbreds<\/strong> (Daytime) <strong>8<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Prefer <strong>#3 Isadella<\/strong> in <strong>Mahoning Valley 4<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Yesterday&rsquo;s Activity<\/strong>: Race 3 at Laurel was your contentious-race special of your Friday. In it, four horses were touted, and your fourth of those, the Third Bonkersmate, won at 11-1. In the runner-up spot was the second-touted horse, the First Bonkersmate, Hitec Dave, 10-1. The $2 exacta paid $319-even.<\/p>\n<p>As for the faves in this race, there were co-faves at 3-1 straight-up. One of those was Termsofengagement, buried without any Fair Odds in a contentious V6 Betting Line, no better than sixth-ranked there; his LifeLiner Speed Column analysis also was no great shakes in this race. Now, as we have seen throughout this past week in this here section, these kinds of faves are probably not going to run as well as your usual fave runs. In this case, Termsofengagement finished fifth, uninvolved in the vertical exotics.<\/p>\n<p>The other fave was one placement better, fourth past the wire. His name was Alisa&#8217;s Engineer, and his LifeLiner Speed Column analysis rating was even worse than Termsofengagement&rsquo;s. However, &rsquo;Alisa was second-top of the conventional Betting Line, Fair Odds of 4&frac12;-1.<\/p>\n<p>If you bit the bullet and dismissed both of these tepid co-choices, you were going to be rewarded handsomely this time. This time it would work out. Still, it&rsquo;s a horserace and these favourites will sometimes have to win or sometimes have to run your exotics. It happens.<\/p>\n<p>But with a little patience and an eagle-eye for nonsensical public favourite-making (as uncovered by the combination of a poor placement on the Betting Line and a substandard, below-80 LifeLiner Speed Column analysis score), the really big exfecta, trizacta or super-duper or both or all three are well within range. When you see this glorious development, let the longshots in.<\/p>\n<p><strong>WMF Report<\/strong>: <\/p>\n<p><em>Early<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Chas. Town<\/strong> 6&frac12;f<br \/>\n<strong>Mahoning<\/strong> 6f<br \/>\n<strong>Keystone<\/strong> 6f<br \/>\n<strong>Tampa<\/strong> 6f<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nocturnal Submission<\/strong>: Sifting through the wreckage&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Thank you. Best wishes. Goodbye. Next time!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>First day of Winter is tomorrow&#8230;until then, this&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[11,4,5,3],"tags":[8,13,7,6],"class_list":["post-7921","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-picks","category-stakes","category-wmf","tag-analysis","tag-commentary","tag-longshots","tag-track-bias"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pavW5M-23L","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7921","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7921"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7921\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7928,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7921\/revisions\/7928"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7921"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7921"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7921"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}