{"id":5770,"date":"2014-01-18T10:47:30","date_gmt":"2014-01-18T18:47:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/?p=5770"},"modified":"2014-01-18T10:48:50","modified_gmt":"2014-01-18T18:48:50","slug":"first-post-saturday-january-18-2014","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/2014\/01\/18\/first-post-saturday-january-18-2014\/","title":{"rendered":"First Post: Saturday, January 18, 2014"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Man, plenty of action today. Plenty. <!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cynthiapublishing.com\/pick.html\">Free<\/a> ones<\/strong>: Rundown&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Aqueduct<\/strong> 2, 4, 5, <em>6<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Calder<\/strong> \/ <strong>Gulf<\/strong> Calder 6, <em>7<\/em>, 8, Gulf 3, 6, <em>8<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Santa Anita<\/strong> <em>2<\/em>, 4, <em>6<\/em>, 9<\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/mm5\/merchant.mvc?Screen=PROD&#038;Store_Code=THS&#038;Product_Code=WLLS&#038;Category_Code=\">Pay-side<\/a><\/strong>: Today&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fair Grounds<\/strong> 3, <em>8<\/em>, 10, 11, 12<br \/>\n<strong>Golden Gate<\/strong> 1, <em>4<\/em>, 6, 8<br \/>\n<strong>Sam Houston<\/strong> 3, 10<br \/>\n<strong>Laurel<\/strong> 2, 5, 8<br \/>\n<strong>Oaklawn<\/strong> <em>5<\/em>, <em>6<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Sunland<\/strong> 8<br \/>\n<strong>Tampa<\/strong> 4, <em>6<\/em>, <em>8<\/em>, 10<br \/>\n<strong>Turfway<\/strong> 4, <em>8<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Today&rsquo;s Stakes Pageantry<\/strong>: <strong>GP 6<\/strong> &#038; <strong>8<\/strong> on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cynthiapublishing.com\/pick.html\">free<\/a> page. <strong>FG 8<\/strong> on the pay-side, along with <strong>TP 8<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Going for the second-choice on the morning line in <strong>FG 7<\/strong>, the <strong>Silverbulletday<\/strong>: <strong>#6 Divine Beauty<\/strong>. Then in the <strong>ninth<\/strong> there, it&rsquo;s <strong>#7 Vicar&rsquo;s in Trouble<\/strong> for the mild upset.<\/p>\n<p>Over to <strong>Golden Gate<\/strong> for the <strong>Calif. Dby.<\/strong>, <strong>Race 7<\/strong>, and <strong>#2 Exit Stage Left<\/strong> is one of &rsquo;em Triple Threat Horseys. Heavens to Murgatroyd!<\/p>\n<p><strong>#1 Sweet N Discreet<\/strong> has an OK shot in <strong>GP 5<\/strong>, the <strong>Fla. Sunshine Millions Distaff<\/strong>. Chalky, though, in the <strong>ninth<\/strong> there: <strong>#3 Ribo Bobo<\/strong>. And it&rsquo;s hard to look past <strong>#4 Mucho Macho Man<\/strong> in the <strong>10th<\/strong>, the <strong>Millions Classic<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Also odds-on for <strong>#4 Triumph and Son<\/strong> in <strong>Hou 7<\/strong>. <strong>Next race<\/strong> there, it looks good for the nonfavored duo of <strong>#6 Texas Air<\/strong>, <strong>#7 Safe Range<\/strong>. And <strong>#7 Fly the Red Eye<\/strong> gets the nod in <strong>the race after that one<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>SA 5<\/strong> has <strong>#1 Gulsary<\/strong> appearing as a worthy morning-line fave. But wild times return in <strong>SA 8<\/strong>, the Grade II <strong>Strub<\/strong>, courtesy of the unfancied trio of <strong>#4 Zeewat<\/strong>, <strong>#3 Shakin It Up<\/strong> and <strong>#5 Govenor Charlie<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Excellent prospects for a price in <strong>Sun 10<\/strong>, the <strong>Royal Crown Cola<\/strong>. We shoot for <strong>#4 F M Forty One<\/strong>, <strong>#2 Dandy Don Who<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Hoo-boy. Exhale. Too much horseys. Sometimes.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Yesterday&rsquo;s Activity<\/strong>: As always, Welcome to The Home of The Runner-Up Finish, this time led by the sole-touted Big Tire in Race 6 at Santa Anita. <\/p>\n<p>Big Tire, 15-1 on the morning line and more than twice that in real life, was the top of the experienced runners on the V6 Betting Line, Fair Odds of 3&frac12;-1. As well, Big Tire had the second-best LifeLiner Speeed Column rating in the field, 82. <\/p>\n<p>Big Tire was not too far back throughout, then rallied like the champion he&rsquo;s well on his way to becoming, picking up 3 lengths between the eighth-pole and the wire, getting beat by half a length at 35-1. Pity. <\/p>\n<p>The 14-1 winner was lost on us. Ugh.<\/p>\n<p>Elsewhere in Hotel California heartaches (everybody now, sing along with The Eagles: <em>&lsquo;There&rsquo;s gonna be a heartache tonight, a heartache tonight, I know!&rsquo;<\/em>), over to Race 2 at the Golden Gate. In it, Handful of Pearls was the lone touted issue, 8-1 on the morning line. Handful of Pearls was second-ranked on the V6 Betting Line, Fair Odds of 3&frac12;-1 and the second-best LifeLiner Speed Column rating in the field, 93. Handful of Pearls somehow got away at 18-1 by the close of the public wagering &mdash; and finished second! Second, just like Big Tire! Half a length behind the winner, just like Big Tire. Handful of Pearls, meet Big Tire. You two have much in common!<\/p>\n<p>In Handful of Pearls case, however, the horse who beat him, the 2-1 second-choice on the toteboard, was also the top-scoring horsey on the LifeLiner Speed Column numbers, 95. The saver exacta, 2-1 over 18-1 in a compact six-horse field, returned $78.<\/p>\n<p>Next example, a half-length to the good this time, a winner. Tampa 4, sole-touted Armagnac, strong on the V6 Betting Line at a prohibitive 2-1 (the next rated Betting Line horsey was 6-1 Fair Odds) was 8-1 on the morning line and a good-enough 82 on LifeLiner Speed Column. Armagnac had hard pressure throughout to keep the 2&frac12;-1 race-favourite at bay. Armagnac paid $15.60 straight. That runner-up was the top LifeLiner Speed issue in the field &mdash; indeed, the top two finishers were the only LifeLiner Speed Column qualifiers in the lineup &mdash; and the longshot-on-top exacta paid $79.20.<\/p>\n<p>Four horseys were touted in the Turfway Park opener, and one of those four ended up winning. Hey, it happens. <\/p>\n<p>Second Bonkersmate Brother Stuart, Fair Odds of 6-1 on the V6 Betting Line and 15-1 on the morning line, got off at 17-1 and ran down the runaway leader to prevail by a widening 1&frac14; lengths at $36.60. <\/p>\n<p>The 16-1 runner-up was OK on LifeLiner (though untoutable due to an insufficient 6-1 morning line), and this wild one-two finish paid $289.60 in an eminently makeable perfecta. Indeed, the first four finishers were LifeLiner Speed Column-eligible, and the trifecta paid $1,240 (for $2) and the super-duper paid $6,244 (again for $2).<\/p>\n<p>Finally, the day&rsquo;s payoff race came in the seventh at Oaklawn. Sole-touted Lenapah, 10th of 11 on the conventional V6 Betting Line &mdash; a Betting Line that started at 6-11 &mdash; nonetheless qualified for consideration because of his top score of 97 on the LifeLiner Speed Column. <\/p>\n<p>Lenapah, 15-1 on the morning line, got away at better than twice that, at 31-1, and ran sufficiently fast late to win by 2&frac14; lengths at $64.80 up top. <\/p>\n<p>At the other end of the day, at the opposite extreme of the price spectrum, a King of The NetCapper Bulliesz Special at Sam Houston Race Park: top-touted Miss Marietta, 10-1 on the morning line, got heavy, heavy, heavy play, down to 2-1, and did not disappoint all the bandwagoners, returning $6-even.<\/p>\n<p>Probably better to have the $64 horse, though, no?<\/p>\n<p><strong>WMF Report<\/strong>: <\/p>\n<p><em>Early<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Laurel<\/strong> 6f<br \/>\n<strong>Oaklawn<\/strong> 6f<br \/>\n<strong>Keystone<\/strong> 6f<br \/>\n<strong>Santa Anita<\/strong> 6f<br \/>\n<strong>Turfway<\/strong> 6&frac12;f<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nocturnal Submission<\/strong>: Sifting through the wreckage&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Thank you. Best wishes. Goodbye. Take care now. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Man, plenty of action today. Plenty.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[11,4,5,3],"tags":[8,13,7,6],"class_list":["post-5770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-picks","category-stakes","category-wmf","tag-analysis","tag-commentary","tag-longshots","tag-track-bias"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pavW5M-1v4","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5770","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5770"}],"version-history":[{"count":19,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5770\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5789,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5770\/revisions\/5789"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5770"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5770"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5770"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}