{"id":5266,"date":"2013-11-10T11:58:26","date_gmt":"2013-11-10T19:58:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/?p=5266"},"modified":"2013-11-10T11:58:26","modified_gmt":"2013-11-10T19:58:26","slug":"first-post-sunday-november-10-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/2013\/11\/10\/first-post-sunday-november-10-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"First Post: Sunday, November 10, 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hoo-boy. Fasten your seat belts&#8230; <!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.cynthiapublishing.com\/pick.html\">Free<\/a> ones<\/strong>: Rundown&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Aqueduct<\/strong> <em>4<\/em>, <em>5<\/em>, 6, 7<br \/>\n<strong>Calder<\/strong> \/ <strong>Gulf<\/strong> Calder 7, Gulf 1, <em>Gulf 2<\/em>, <em>Gulf 3<\/em>, Gulf 4, <em>Gulf 6<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>BetFail<\/strong> <em>5<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><a href=\"http:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/mm5\/merchant.mvc?Screen=PROD&#038;Store_Code=THS&#038;Product_Code=WLL1&#038;Category_Code=\">Pay-side<\/a><\/strong>: Today&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Churchill<\/strong> 1, <em>3<\/em>, <em>6<\/em>, 7, 9<br \/>\n<strong>Golden Gate<\/strong> <em>4<\/em>, <em>5<\/em>, <em>7<\/em>, 8, 9<br \/>\n<strong>Hawthorne<\/strong> 2, 4, 5, <em>9<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Woodbine<\/strong> 6, <em>8<\/em>, 11<br \/>\n<strong>Zia<\/strong> 6, 8, <em>9<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Today&rsquo;s Stakes Pageantry<\/strong>: <strong>Aqu 7<\/strong> on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cynthiapublishing.com\/pick.html\">free<\/a> page. <strong>WO 8<\/strong> on the pay-side.<\/p>\n<p>Uh-oh. <strong>#2 Shared Belief<\/strong> is accorded Vaunted Triple Threat Horsey Status in <strong>Hol 3<\/strong>, the Grade III <strong>Hollywood Prevue<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Yesterday&rsquo;s Activity<\/strong>: This will include two days for yourself, Friday and Saturday. Plus an unpublished howler for you for your Sunday. <\/p>\n<p>But first, we do indeed pride ourselves on being the King of the NetCapper Bulliesz Specials. Yes. When it comes to the final race of the day, we are there, or else we want to be there. Always a good race for the upsets. <\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, all these late-card heroics are taking away the spotlight from the opposite end of proceedings: the openers! As much as we are the self-styled King of the NetCapper Bulliesz, our tardiness at the start of the day might have been costing you. Sorry, but it happens! <\/p>\n<p>At any rate, it&rsquo;s an object lesson on why, maybe, you might do better doing this for yourself. Getting the All-In-One V6 into your eager and itchy-palmed hands. Running the numbers on your own. Letting the LifeLiner Robot hook it up with that Lipstick Robot in the car-insurance commercials. Uh, no. Rather, Letting the LifeLiner Speed Column Robot turn you on to the longshots who have a well-concealed chance for the surprise. And they are well-concealed!<\/p>\n<p>But LifeLiner Speed Column shines as a beacon anyway. Will you surrender control for just long enough to be guided by its light? If we here at the Home Office sleep in, will you be able to go it alone?<\/p>\n<p>Friday opener, Aqueduct. Boys in The Backroom woke up late, as is frequently their wont. Wont. The Betting Line in the race was contentious. Open it up to the LifeLiner Speed Column. Chick in Slacks was buried on the Betting Line but had the top rating in the LifeLiner Speed Column. At 12-1 on the morning line, this is the type of overlooked horsey the Boys in The Backroom are fond of touting.<\/p>\n<p>Result? Chick in Slack draws off to win by 7 lengths, returning a bet-down $21-even up top. Better yet, the exacta was completed by 15-1 morning-line chance Inspeightofgold, on the threshold of the LifeLiner Speed Column qualifying score of 80. No matter. An easy Bonkersmate status for Inspeightofgold, who got the place-spot and helped the exacta return $274.50. <\/p>\n<p>Then this morning, PST, Sunday, Aqueduct, another potential opening-race tout that was never published due to the late-rising ways of your Home Office Toutersz, the Boys in The Backroom. Boo, Arsenal! Boo, Man U! Boo, RVP!<\/p>\n<p>Anyway, what happened in the opener today at the Aqueduct? Of course it was a contentious race, and it looked like anything was possible. The Betting Line was indeterminate, and LifeLiner Speed Column ratings gladly took over.<\/p>\n<p>Three horseys qualified on LifeLiner, and one of them was 8-1 on the morning line, Irish Score. How it happens is wondrous and miraculous, but Irish Score went off at 21-1. Irish Score won by just over 3 lengths and paid $44.20 for his fine effort.<\/p>\n<p>So, can you do this for yourself when we are absent from the scene? Of course. If we can do it, you will be 100 times better. We know very little about horseracing. We don&rsquo;t pretend to have all the answers like those mopesz with the haircuts on the BetFail TV channel. Those guysz are special. We just go about our business touting live longshots. Class will out. Talent will out. The cream always rises.<\/p>\n<p>At any rate, also kindly do not dismiss this as <em>ex post facto<\/em> redboarding. If you have followed us long enough (and if you have not, you can catch up by clicking on our &ldquo;First Post&rdquo; posts and scrolling down to the &ldquo;Yesterday&rsquo;s Activity&rdquo; sections), you know are methods are consistent. You know that we apply them consistently and unfailingly to the races. You can rest assured that we are not retrofitting stats or analyses. You can take comfort that we are not rejiggering the factors or straining to be impostor-geniuses after the horseys have crossed the wire. Nope. That&rsquo;s not our charter. We leave that scrambling and revisionist-history style of handicapping to the mopesz on the BetFail TV channel. They are good at that. They have all the answers and excuses after they have lost the race, after they have been caught for injecting themselves against the rules of the game. Those guysz are there for their haircuts, just like Justin Bieber and One Direction. Mentally, probably Justin Bieber and Harry Styles are smarter than the guysz on the BetFail TV channel. Also, some of them BetFail TV channel talents (so-called) are way-shorter than they appear on-screen. Just so you know!<\/p>\n<p>All right, all right, ya BetFail TV channel loversz! Can you do this? Can you put the All-In-One in your own eager and itchy-palmed hands and score, to know the longshots before the races are run? Yes. We have mere baccalaureate degrees here, no postgraduate studies, and it&rsquo;s doable. If you have a postgraduate degree, you may have to lessen your need for professional control and let the machine do the heavy lifting. Granted, this is hard for high-power doctors and lawyers and investment bankers, but, trust us, it is the way to do it. Step out of the way of the All-In-One&rsquo;s light. Let it shine. Seriously, you all are smart enough to figure it out. The guysz on the BetFail TV channel, probably they could not do it. They have too much ego to let the computer take credit. But if you are humble and have humility and pay your dues, by golly, the All-In-One V6 will do right by you.<\/p>\n<p>Buy the package, pay $100 per month for data (never a price increase on the data since Day 1, nearly 20 years ago!). The data includes it all, racefiles, track models, binary charts for the statistical modeling to take place, plus cosmetic trainer-jockey-pedigree stats. The whole package. Quit spending money on overpriced data. A hundred scoots per month is a little over 3 bucks per day, all tracks included, nationwide simulcast scans possible in minutes. Quit buying the <em>Everyday Racing Times<\/em>. Set fire to those moldy, mildewy stacks of newsprint, watch the experts&rsquo; (so-called) chubby faces crinkle and smolder.<\/p>\n<p>So, those were the opening races at Aqueduct on Friday and Sunday, easily toutable races that were not published because we woke up late. Too bad, so sad. But, again, you can do this.<\/p>\n<p>Also on Friday, Double Image came away with the shocker in the eighth at Golden Gate. Double Image was longest shot on the morning line at 15-1 and the longest shot in the field at 22-1. Buried on the Betting Line, Double Image had by far the top LifeLiner Speed Column score in the race, 97. Result: $46.40 to win. Yes, this was a King of the NetCapper Bulliesz special!<\/p>\n<p>Another King of the NetCapper Bulliesz special on Friday came in the closer at Laurel, courtesy of the aptly named Jo Way JAVA. Jo Way JAVA, 20-1 on the morning line and 14-1 in real life, went gate-to-wire en route to a $30.20 straight mutuel. <\/p>\n<p>Yes, a third consecutive King of the NetCapper Bulliesz special here from Friday, this time at Remington. Another aptly named runner, Final Time (LifeLiner Speed!), won by a dirty nose (dirty!) at $17.60. Final Time was the lone LifeLiner Speed Column qualifier.<\/p>\n<p>Wrapping up your Friday, a couple of results to keep us all humble and honest. In other words, Welcome to The Home of The Runner-Up Finish! These were both at the Woodbine. The first of them came in Race 5 via Endeavor&rsquo;s Dream. Endeavor&rsquo;s Dream was a first-timer who had the qualifying connections line (15pc\/12pc\/23pc) and was 8-1 on the morning line. Sent off at 22-1, Endeavor&rsquo;s Dream rallied like mad to lose by a shrinking half a length. The winner was an experienced runner, the race favourite, actually, and qualified on LifeLiner Speed, meaning the saver $163 exactor was well within reach. <\/p>\n<p>Then in the ninth there on Friday, top-touted Tell All You Know finished second at 40&cent; shy of 20-1. Tell All You Know was 15-1 on the morning line and with a solid 86 in the LifeLiner Speed Column, third-best in the running. He turned in a good effort, beaten only 2 lengths. The winner was the even-money fave, top Betting Line and top LifeLiner Speed, and the saver exacta was $43. Indeed, the first four finishers were LifeLiner Speed-eligible, and the payoffs included a $167 triactor (for $2) and a $328 superfactor (for $1).<\/p>\n<p>OK. Now on to your Saturday, truly yesterday. The valiant and top-touted Hoopskirt beat nine others and was second only to one at 17-1 in the seventh at Aqueduct. The winner was your 2-1 public fave and OK on LifeLiner, too, rendering the $120 saver exacta, 2-1 over 17-1 in an 11-horse field, eminently gettable. As well, all four finishers in the super-duper were LifeLiner Speed-eligible, yielding $666 (heck yeah!) on the trizacta and $3,536 on the superzacta, both for $2.<\/p>\n<p>Over at the Churchill, Dontchalant took the fifth at an unimpeachable 14-1. Dontchalant was one of two LifeLiner Speed Column qualifiers in the field. (The other was eighth, but at an unappetizing 4-1.) Dontchalant paid $31.40.<\/p>\n<p>Over at the Laurel, Lady Sabelia won Race 7 at $16.20; she was bet-down slightly from 8-1 on the morning line. First Bonkersmate Flattering Bea, 15-1 on both the morning line and on the toteboard, completed the exacta, $159-even. <\/p>\n<p>Later there, one of &rsquo;em King of the NetCapper Bulliesz specials, thanks to Res Judicata, a lone tout in the race. Res Judicata paid $16-even.<\/p>\n<p>Then in Race 6 at Woodbine, Bonkersmate Brew On the Beach came home first at $32.40. Brew On the Beach was a firster with a qualifying connection line of 15pc\/18pc\/27pc.<\/p>\n<p>Thanks for hanging in there. <em>Voil&agrave;!<\/em> The trick, she is done!<\/p>\n<p><strong>WMF Report<\/strong>: <\/p>\n<p><em>Early<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Los Alamitos<\/strong> 4&frac12;f<br \/>\n<strong>Keystone<\/strong> 6f<br \/>\n<strong>Portland<\/strong> 6f<br \/>\n<strong>Turf Paradise<\/strong> 5f<br \/>\n<strong>Zia<\/strong> 6f<\/p>\n<p><em>Rally<\/em><br \/>\n<strong>Woodbine<\/strong> 7f<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nocturnal Submission<\/strong>: Sifting through the wreckage&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Thank you. Best wishes. Goodbye. Bye-bye.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hoo-boy. Fasten your seat belts&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[11,4,5,3],"tags":[8,13,7,6],"class_list":["post-5266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-picks","category-stakes","category-wmf","tag-analysis","tag-commentary","tag-longshots","tag-track-bias"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pavW5M-1mW","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5266","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5266"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5266\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5282,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5266\/revisions\/5282"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}