{"id":4783,"date":"2013-09-20T14:47:16","date_gmt":"2013-09-20T21:47:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/?p=4783"},"modified":"2013-09-20T14:49:44","modified_gmt":"2013-09-20T21:49:44","slug":"first-post-friday-september-20-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/2013\/09\/20\/first-post-friday-september-20-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"First Post: Friday, September 20, 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bonjour, mademoiselles!<\/em> <\/p>\n

Free<\/a> ones<\/strong>: Rundown…<\/p>\n

Belmont<\/strong> 1<\/em>, 3, 6<\/em>, 7<\/em>, 9<\/p>\n

Pay-side<\/a><\/strong>: Today…<\/p>\n

Arlington<\/strong> 6<\/em>, 9
\nChurchill<\/strong> 8, 9<\/em>, 10<\/em>
\nLouisiana<\/strong> 3<\/em>, 4, 5, 7<\/em>, 8<\/em>
\nLaurel<\/strong> 7<\/em>, 8, 9<\/em>
\nRemington<\/strong> 1, 4, 6, 7
\nWoodbine<\/strong> 7, 9<\/p>\n

Today’s Stakes Pageantry<\/strong>: Barreplex 9<\/strong> is the Bangles and Beads<\/strong> (What? No baubles?), and #1 Lady Rosamond<\/strong> is a Triple Threat Horsey. <\/p>\n

RP 4<\/strong> is on the pay-side. In the very next race there, #4 Agent<\/strong> should be too good.<\/p>\n

Yesterday’s Activity<\/strong>: A Ned Reldem, Esq., sighting! He writes from his garret in Loudon Co., Va., home to all the oligarchs such as himself:<\/p>\n

“Anyway it had been a dreary day until this race only one win on a TTH but I have to look it up. I think we would agree this was worth a shot. Anyway non-contentious race with a bunch of mediocre lifeliner horses only one qualified on the betting line at 84 and was overbet down to 3-5 (fair odds at 5-1). 9 horse field.<\/p>\n

“I put [some money] on the top of the betting line that was 77 on lifeliner and at bet odds of 6-1. I put another 2 on the other top 2 lifeliners one at 89 Dan’s Last Stand that was 14-1 when I decided and the other Just Got In at 79 which was at 40-1 when I decided and went off at 50-1. <\/p>\n

“Boxed those 3 for my first exacta of the day (best part of the day is not doing exacta as I said this was the first one). That did not win but wouldn’t you know it Just Got In did win paying $115.00 so it should be another [winning day] hopefully I can pick up another win or two on the late races.”
\n<\/em><\/p>\n

Later on, we all had some joy via LaD 7 and the great Quiet Acceleration, 17-1 up top.<\/p>\n

But Att. Reldem has made a larger point about the LifeLiner. Instead of our hard-and-fast absolutes regarding the Speed Column (to wit, LifeLiner Speed Column 80 or higher), why not a relative approach, just in case there are not that many 80-plus LifeLiner horseys? In other words, in a junky-type race, why not a top-three or so finish in the LifeLiner?<\/p>\n

In the Delpark King of the NetCapper Bulliesz race Att. Reldem mentioned, Just Got In was a LifeLiner 79, shy a point on the absolute but in the top 3 there. <\/p>\n

Needless to say, Att. Reldem is engaging in some creative, LSAT-style problem-solving here, and it is working! He is putting his beginner’s mind to the challenge at hoof and coming up with wild winnersz, obscenely wild! His mantra is: if you can make your case for your potential 30-, 40- or 50-1 and up runnersz, go for it. They don’t need a preponderance of evidence. Just a glimmer of hope.<\/p>\n

Right now, Att. Reldem is an exciting addition to the day-after analyses of this here Weblog. He has injected a lot of youthful verve and enthusiasm into our postings. We are grateful for his Yasiel Puig-type presence in the lineup. Sometimes you have to pull a Donny Beisbol on him and sit him down for a little chat, but more often than not Ned Reldem, Esq., has been a net-gain for the squad. Good job. Loudon Co., Va., Home of the Plutogarchs, Home of the Olicratsz.<\/p>\n

WMF Report<\/strong>: <\/p>\n

Early<\/em>
\nChurchill<\/strong> 6f
\nCalder<\/strong> 6f
\nEmerald<\/strong> 6f, 6½f
\nFairmount<\/strong> 6f
\nBarreplex<\/strong> 6f
\nIndiana<\/strong> 6f
\nLos Alamitos<\/strong> 4½f
\nLouisiana<\/strong> 6f
\nMarquis<\/strong> 6f
\nNorthlands<\/strong> 6½f
\nPennNat<\/strong> 6f
\nThistle<\/strong> 5½f<\/p>\n

Rally<\/em>
\nRemington<\/strong> 1m (T)<\/p>\n

Nocturnal Submission<\/strong>: Sifting through the wreckage now. A freestander to follow, if applicable. <\/p>\n

Thank you. Best wishes. Goodbye. Bonsoir<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bonjour, mademoiselles!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[11,4,5,3],"tags":[8,13,7,6],"class_list":["post-4783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","category-picks","category-stakes","category-wmf","tag-analysis","tag-commentary","tag-longshots","tag-track-bias"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pavW5M-1f9","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4783","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4783"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4783\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4790,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4783\/revisions\/4790"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4783"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4783"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4783"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}