{"id":14213,"date":"2018-02-06T09:15:28","date_gmt":"2018-02-06T17:15:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/?p=14213"},"modified":"2018-02-06T09:18:08","modified_gmt":"2018-02-06T17:18:08","slug":"first-post-tuesday-february-6-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/2018\/02\/06\/first-post-tuesday-february-6-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"First Post: Tuesday, February 6, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" height=\"130\" width=\"100%\" src=\"https:\/\/www.wnyc.org\/widgets\/ondemand_player\/wnyc\/#file=\/audio\/json\/831189\/&#038;share=1\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Thank you, Annie Duke. Thank you. Horseplayers LOVE &lsquo;resulting&rsquo;. Nae, horseplayers FETISHIZE &lsquo;RESULTING&rsquo;. This is apparent if you ever watch even one race on the television and there&rsquo;s an analyst paid to flap his mouth afterwards. <!--more--><\/p>\n<p>This is why so many horseplayers think there is a LESSON TO BE LEARNT AFTER EACH &#038; EVERY RACE &mdash; THE PHENOMENON OF &lsquo;RESULTING&rsquo;. Yet, as Genius Annie here reminds us, there&rsquo;s not always a lesson to be learnt, especially when there&rsquo;s so much uncertainty and randomness involved. Indeed, it&rsquo;s probably rare that there is a genuine lesson to be learnt. Chess, yes, there&rsquo;s a lesson after each move. But poker, horseracing, sports-betting, not so much with the lessons. Do not ignore the role of uncertainty and the long run\/string of outcomes when it comes to evaluating performance. THERE&rsquo;s NOT ALWAYS A LESSON. Sorry, classical handicapping books and articles and columns&#8230;THERE&rsquo;s NOT ALWAYS A LESSON. Sometimes there&rsquo;s just variance and randomness and that&rsquo;s OK, too. Write about a large sample of outcomes and expectations, not the &lsquo;it-had-to-be-this-exact-way&rsquo; perfection of the one particular outcome that might actually be the outlier! Hoo-boy. Thank you, Annie Duke. We understand why you won a lot of money under conditions of great uncertainty. Undoubtedly you would make a winning horseplayer, too. Thank you, Annie Duke. You are welcome to visit this here Weblog any time you like. Thank you.<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>Fleet Frontrunners<\/u><\/strong><br \/>\nMahoning 7, 8<br \/>\nKeystone 1, 2, 10<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>Fast Final-Furlong Phantasms<\/u><\/strong><br \/>\nNONE<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>Favorable Faves<\/u><sup>*<\/sup><\/strong><br \/>\nMahoning 1, 5<br \/>\nKeystone 9<br \/>\nSunland<sup><b>&dagger;<\/b><\/sup> 1<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>Freakazoid Factories<\/u><\/strong><br \/>\nKeystone 2, 5, 8<\/p>\n<p><sup><b>*<\/b><\/sup>-morning-line faves only; disbanded during 1973-74 season<br \/>\n<sup><b>&dagger;<\/b><\/sup>-raceday scratches unavailable at press-time; available scratches current as of noon EST; pre shot-clock era<\/p>\n<p><strong><u>YESTERDAY&rsquo;s Fine Finishes<\/u><sup>&Dagger;<\/strong><br \/>\nNONE<br \/>\n<strong><sup>&Dagger;<\/sup><\/strong>-High-Octane Chancers doin&rsquo; it exclusively with All-In-One V6 and its LifeLiner Speed Column analysis and LifeLiner Spread Column analysis, without regard to operational definitions of faves or freakazoids; thank you!<\/p>\n<p>Annie Duke, thank you. Thank you for making such excellent commentary.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Thank you, Annie Duke. Thank you. Horseplayers LOVE &lsquo;resulting&rsquo;. Nae, horseplayers FETISHIZE &lsquo;RESULTING&rsquo;. This is apparent if you ever watch even one race on the television and there&rsquo;s an analyst paid to flap his mouth afterwards.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pavW5M-3Hf","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14213","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14213"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14213\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14223,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14213\/revisions\/14223"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14213"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14213"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cynthiapublishing.com\/hp_wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14213"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}