March 22, 2002

In This Issue...

2002 PARS PLUS Materials Are Coming

It's now time to update your Cynthia Publishing par times, and for a limited time, you can save some money and get some terrific bonuses, too. These profuse rewards are our way of thanking you for your patience and support.

Translation: Your copy of the 2002 PARS PLUS Special 10th Anniversary Edition will be available for shipment soon, and that's only some of the good news. This year's pars are cause for celebration. You'll draw on our solid decade of experience in providing the ultimate in par-time information. But that's not all. You'll also leap ahead of the rest by taking your knowledge and application of pars to a spectacular new level no one else can show you. And you'll get all of this at a remarkable discount and with some very special gifts.

Back to the pars. You'll get them in our traditional, time-honored, three-call format for all the racetracks, both dirt and turf, in North America. So if you're accustomed to using the par times as the basis for your handicapping, you're set. You know the value of updating your pars annually.

But if you're hungry for extra handicapping tools, 2002 PARS PLUS has plenty to satisfy your needs. We're excited to be able to provide average daily variants; improved, more-realistic track-class levels; and more-practical intertrack class-level ratings than before. They'll help simplify your handicapping experience. These three tools alone are dynamite in getting quick reads on track-surface speeds and shippers, without needing to go through the entire exercise of comparing pars from one track to the next. In this age of full-card multi-track simulcasting, quick-handicapping is the key, and having handicapping information such as average daily variants, track-class levels and intertrack class-level ratings will slash hours from your handicapping load.

There's more. We're also pleased to be able to provide you with a brand-new way of evaluating how tracks behave for each combination of track, distance and surface. We call it WMF (Winning Move Factor), but you'll call it money. You'll use WMF to confidently eliminate noncontenders and understand how changes as subtle as switching distance or moving from one track to another can boost a horse that looks dull, or help knock off a low-odds horse that looks sharp.

Better yet, WMF is a real eye-opener that translates easily take from track to track. Ever wonder why your pet early-speed plays do better at some tracks than others? With the handy WMF, you won't be left wondering anymore. You'll know. Better yet, you'll be able to temper your enthusiasm for these plays when they take place at tracks whose WMF is disadvantageous to frontrunners. And bet with confidence over surfaces where the WMF is in your favor.

And don't worry - if you're allergic to numbers, there'll be meaningful, practical articles to help explain the numbers to you and how you can use them to help your handicapping.

By themselves, these outstanding information resources and articles would be enough. But why stop there? Perhaps the most exciting aspect of your 2002 PARS PLUS materials are the bold advances we've made in taking the practice and theory of par times to the next level. We have combined many more hours of research plus a savvy for all-important local knowledge to change the way you approach and think about the game. On each coast and everywhere in-between, you'll begin to understand the game like never before, thanks to logical, sensible and thought-provoking inquiries that should have been made long ago but, amazingly enough, appear for the first time only in 2002 PARS PLUS. We're committed to seeing your handicapping is as well-informed as possible.

These developments in 2002 PARS PLUS Special 10th Anniversary Edition truly are cause for a lot of celebration, but the icing on the cake is the price: 2002 PARS PLUS is unchanged at $107 (including shipping and handling; $115.25 for California residents to cover applicable state sales tax). That's right! You get three-call par times for all the tracks in North America, PLUS terrific handicapping tools like average daily variants, track-class levels, intertrack class-level ratings, PLUS the WMFs for every track PLUS eye-opening articles tying it all together PLUS great local-knowledge pointers for a hundred bucks, plus shipping and handling. What an overlay!

It gets even better. In our quest to continually delight you, we'll make the deal even sweeter. We're obviously excited about the 2002 PARS PLUS Special 10th Anniversary Edition and everything inside. But if you place your order for the 2002 PARS PLUS Special 10th Anniversary Edition book now, we'll deliver two extra-special bonuses before May 1 - at no additional charge. They're called "The Quick and Dirty Guide to Trainer Subtleties," one for Southern California trainers and another for their New York Racing Association counterparts. Don't let the crazy title fool you - these excellent guides give you more than just the usual, tired-old stats. You'll get vivid word-pictures and descriptions that actually put you inside the trainers' heads to uncover their winning m.o.'s. In other words, you'll know when a trainer is ready to strike - or not, as the case may be. Valued at $25 apiece, that's a $50 bonus, yours free with your prompt order of the 2002 PARS PLUS Special 10th Anniversary Edition.

So let's recap. It's time to update your par times, not to mention get such improved supplemental tools as average daily variants, track-class levels, intertrack class-level ratings and WMFs for all North American tracks. It's also time to tie it all together with fascinating, provocative and thought-provoking articles on the very latest par-time handicapping techniques based on local knowledge of the various tracks. And if you order now, you receive all these outstanding handicapping resources for $107 ($115.25 for California residents) - PLUS you get two more extra-special bonuses ("The Quick and Dirty Guide to Trainer Subtleties" for Southern California and New York) FREE! How can you lose?

If you're an ALL-IN-ONE, Easy Capper or Fast Capper user and want to upgrade to the 2002 par times, no problem. Order by March 30 and for $107 ($115.25 for California residents) you get the 2002 par-times update for your software, the printed supplemental material from the 2002 PARS PLUS Special 10th Anniversary Edition book AND your two "The Quick and Dirty Guide to Trainer Subtleties" bonuses at no extra charge.

To order by phone with a major credit card, call (323) 876-7325. Or fax your order information to (323) 874-1591. Or visit our brand-new Web site at and click on any link alongside announcing the 2002 PARS PLUS Special 10th Anniversary Edition. Or if you like to do business the old-fashioned way, please mail your payment to Cynthia Publishing Company, 11314 Ventura Blvd. #524, Studio City, CA 91604. P.S. Remember, this very special offer is good only for orders placed by March 30, so don't delay. We appreciate your business. (And if you need more information, please enjoy the additional information at the Cynthia Publishing Company Handicapping Store.)

Other New Stuff In Store

Mike Helm's Debut Trainer Guide 2002 is now available. It goes beyond the unthinking monotony of the fat numbers-crunchers by providing specific situations behind a trainer's debut wins. It adds texture to the numbing stats provided by everyone else. For a better understanding of the hows and whys behind debut-trainer patterns, definitely check out Helm's work. It combines the cold, hard facts with the warm touch only the soul of a poet could provide. Click on this link to the Cynthia Publishing Company Handicapping Store.

Of course, don't forget about the newest offering from the illustrious Mark Cramer: the authoritatively titled Hidden Probabilities: Hard-Core Research for X-Rated Horseplayers.

In inimitable Cramer style and packed with unique research, Galileo-inspired thinking and writing (with high-level concepts made easy to grasp, thanks to Cramer's renowned facility with the English language), this new booklet is an ambitious blend of the nearly mechanical, the almost-magical and the fully inspired. That's because our friend Cramer takes 10 time-honored and simple handicapping concepts and pulses them through the kink-o-master machine, coming up with a stunning creation of staggering beauty and elegance that's good enough to eat.

Whoa. That's just plain silly. But you get the idea. Hidden Probabilities: Hard-Core Research for X-Rated Horseplayers is going to be another valuable addition to the handicapping literature, courtesy of someone who knows how to do just that.

New Contest Moving Along

We're down to the Elite Eight, and tomorrow they play the first half of their weekend showdown. Who are these fearless handicappers looking for a berth in the Final Four next weekend? Check out the Cynthia Publishing Horsetalk Forum and look under the subject header Contests -- their identities will become plain. And see how they got where they are by clicking on our current contest page.

Three-Year-Old Recap

Trainer David Hofmans says it's time for Siphonic to take a rest after they found some "wear and tear" in one of his ankles, and that means the West Coast now has a new equine athlete atop its Derby-prep podium.

His name is Medaglia d'Oro, and unless you've been on Marquesas this past week, you know the guy ran an amazing race (!) in the San Felipe Stakes on St. Patrick's Day Sunday at Santa Anita, getting the gold medal with a truly game and talented performance.

The final-time figure for the race speaks for itself -- the best so far this year by a three-year-old around two turns -- but the manner of Medaglia d'Oro's victory offered even more to shout about.

Medaglia d'Oro, making his first route try, shot to the lead, got challenged around the far turn by the aforementioned Siphonic and the improving U S S Tinosa and looked like a loser until upper stretch, when jockey Laffit Pincay Jr. lifted Medaglia d'Oro back into the race along the rail and drew away by nearly three lengths over U S S Tinosa, with Siphonic tiring to third, another lengths behind 'Tinosa.

Great pace, even better determination and courage and, best of all, competitive acceleration in deep stretch. It adds up to trainer Bobby Frankel's most legitimate shot at winning the Kentucky Derby. And now that he's off the Breeders' Cup schneid, what else is there for him to do?

Siphonic was unimpressive for a second consecutive race, forcing the extended layoff announced today. When Siphonic is good, he's very good. Unfortunately, he wasn't good lately, and the Derby dreams get interrupted.

U S S Tinosa ran another good one, but this time he had some legitimate Grade I horses in his way. He should prove to be a useful sort, though perhaps not a best-of-the-best type.

While Medaglia d'Oro was cleaning up on Sunday, a day earlier, in what was supposed to be the weekend's marquee race, the Florida Derby, Harlan's Holiday finally pushed past Booklet. The pace of the race was lightning-fast, a full second fast at all points than last year, leading to a faster raw final time. However, the finish of the race, especially for such suicidal fractions up top, was not too inspiring. Blue Burner, much less seasoned than 'Harlan, still has a shot to grow into his considerable potential.

And then there were the undercard races. Harbor Star, trained by H. James Bond, and Strive, a Bill Mott runner, dueled in the final yards of a maiden race and should have some chances down the road. A race after that, Buddha, another James Bond trainee, sat just off a tepid pace en route to a very impressive showing in the homestretch of an entry-level allowance. What happens next is up to Buddha -- he'll need to get faster earlier, if he wants to continue his life as a nonclaiming three-year-old presser, or he'll need to live with going slow early by dropping farther back in the field and learning how to go past a few horses toward the end. Best wishes.

Mayakovsky was wobbly in the stretch of the weekend's final important prep, the Gotham at Aqueduct. Understandably, he was probably a little short after sitting out for a long time and coming back against top company to go a route of ground for the first time. No doubt a world of talent, but going two turns, and then a mile and a quarter on top of all that?

On the other hand, Saarland, also making his seasonal debut, was left with the grim task of trying to run down a too-loose-on-the-lead Mayakovsky and came up short. Let's see, where have we seen this before? Oh, yeah, in Florida, where Booklet and Harlan's Holiday played hunted and hunter all winter long. Saarland should bounce back OK as the days and distances lengthen.

This Week's Three-Year-Old Forecast

Spiral in Kentucky, Rebel in Arkansas. No, those aren't commands to revolve and revolt in the midwest. Rather, they're the big three-year-old stakes races on tap tomorrow in the United States of America. (An important distinction, since they are also running the UAE Derby at Nad al-Sheba Racecourse in Dubai.)

In the Spiral, there's no blazing speedball (or two) the way there was last year when Balto Star and an unlucky Keats were going to hook up all the way around. Unfortunately, Keats broke poorly, leaving Balto Star to assume command on his own, all the way into contenderhood in the Kentucky Derby.

Local heroes Request for Parole and Perfect Drift are at it again, and Request for Parole has been the perfect one so far in their two meetings, most recently showing a huge determination to keep his nose ahead of his rival's. Is this Kentucky's version of Booklet vs. Harlan's Holiday?

Could very well be. Perfect Drift seems to have more room for development, and his last-race performance showed a huge jump forward, whereas 'Parole's showed him around the same levels he hung out at as a two-year-old. With the master of the well-timed ride Eddie Delahoussaye on Perfect Drift this time, that one could get the nod.

Saratoga Blues is getting better and, more important, is learning to be more patient. That should help in here, and he'll likely have the best trip of all in this race, whether setting the pace or sitting in the garden spot.

Azillion also has a shot, especially now that he's out of Sunday Break's lengthy Southern California shadow. A threat from off the pace. Hey, don't forget My Man Ryan, either, another who can move forward with any pace help up front. Sure, let's name 'em all!

No. Not really. In the end, Request for Parole figures to be overbet, especially given the presence of one Mr. Patrick Day in the saddle. Perfect Drift and Saratoga Blues are going to get most of the rest of the action. Azillion looms an attractive price. We'll try Azillion on top, with Perfect Drift and Saratoga Blues as the proverbial savers. If you're involved with the trifecta, My Man Ryan deserves favor.

In the Rebel at Oaklawn Park, Dusty Spike emerges as the local threat, given his nearly-was at 28-1 in a division of the Southwest last time. Unfortunately, that was probably a fluke thing, a total pace setup, along with the potential for a bounce this time.

Jeremiah Jack, the morning-line favorite, has an obvious and big shot for trainer Tom Amoss. Pretty darn quick as a two-year-old, he has a slight bit of versatility, too.

Interminable Gold goes for Amoss's Fair Grounds nemesis, trainer Steve Asmussen, and displayed an even better closing kick than 'Spike's, since it came against a slower pace. An upset threat there.

The play here is to take a small stand against Dusty Spike and combine Interminable Gold with Windward Passage and Jeremiah Jack.

Best wishes for a big weekend!

The Races in the Oasis

It's that time of year when they get together in the desert (no, not Turf Paradise) and run some really rich races. For instance, when's the last time you saw six-furlong sprinters race for $2 million. Yup, about a year ago!

Let's look at that one, the Dubai Golden Shaheen, a no-turn race. Five very good Americans ship over, including last year's winner, Caller One. Give him the big horse-for-course advantage.

But he didn't have to put up with any fellow frontrunners last year, either. This time, he gets a horse in Xtra Heat who actually outlasted him on the front end in last year's Breeders' Cup Sprint.

Then he's also got to put up with two more dead-on frontrunners -- Echo Eddie and Bonapaw. It's a little bit of a reach, but we'll try Men's Exclusive, who could be the main beneficiary of everything that goes on in the early stages. Now if he can get over that inconsistency.

The big one, of course, is the $6 million Dubai World Cup, and your even-money favorite is the great Sakhee, who last time got his race over the track. The trick is to find some exotic candidates, and our bomb hopes will rest with Best of The Bests, already a two-time winner on dirt, and Royal Tryst, who should stay on well enough at this distance on dirt.

We appreciate your comments about this newsletter. Please send them to our staff. Thank you!

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