The Commonsense videotape series is a set of six videotapes, each addressing a crucial
area of thoroughbred handicapping and wagering. Your host is Dick Mitchell, author
of six critically-acclaimed books on the subject of thoroughbred handicapping.
Mitchell has found that many of the accepted principles of handicapping are false.
On these tapes, he shares his discoveries with you. Mitchell is the country's
foremost expert on the subject of money management and betting strategy. His signature
principle is "you don't win money at the races by picking good horses, you win by
picking good bets." He's more interested in teaching you how to win
money than in teaching you how to "pick the winner." Mitchell believes
that picking the winner is overrated. The most valuable skill a handicapper can
learn is the skill of estimating a horse's chances to win a particular race. In
other words, making a betting line. Mitchell isn't some "Ivory Tower"
professor expounding on theories of handicapping. He's a street-fighter from the
School of Hard Knocks. Best of all, he's an excellent teacher. In his
down-to-earth commonsense way, he explains how to win. Mitchell says, "Anyone
who tells you it's easy to win at the races isn't telling you the truth." He
makes it as simple as possible. You'll never make a sucker bet if you follow the
advice on these tapes. The Commonsense Videotape package contains these six tapes:
This two-hour tape teaches you how to handicap in a systematic and structured
way. You'll learn to scan the entries and eliminate horses that have very little
chance to win. You'll learn a method of "speed handicapping" using the
Daily Racing Form information. By "speed" we mean quick, not deep esoteric
speed figures and variants, and certainly not Beyer numbers. The four major
considerations of thoroughbred handicapping are Ability, Condition, Angles and Value.
Within these are embedded the principles of handicapping. For example,
Ability contains the principles of speed and class. Condition includes the
"form factor." Angles include trainers, jockeys, class rises, class drops
and all the factors not considered above. Value is determining if the horse is worth
a bet or not. Each consideration is discussed in detail and methods are given that
will enable you to make a profit. You'll learn how to construct a betting line.
Mitchell is an excellent teacher. You'll want to watch this tape over and
over. Each time, you'll gain new insights into this very challenging pastime.
Mitchell's goals are simple. He has vowed "to be responsible for more winners
than any of his predecessors or contemporaries." He's obsessed. He
spends every waking hour thinking of ways to teach winning at the track. You'll be
the beneficiary of over eight years of intense research and study. You'll learn the real
percentages in racing. You'll be able to spot "false favorites."
This skill alone is worth triple the price of this tape. If you like "spot
plays," Mitchell shares a bunch that are profit-packed. It took Mitchell five
years and the help of a very sophisticated computer system to learn how to win. He
freely admits he's not the world's best handicapper. In fact, he considers himself a
little above average. What he really knows how to do is WIN. Winning is a
skill. It can be learned. Mitchell knows how and is willing to share it with
you. It's his mission. He will not be fulfilled until he has crated more
winners than all the others put together. The two hours spent with Dick Mitchell
represents over eight years of research and study. You'll save a lot of time and
effort. You'll be a regular at the "win window." Commonsense
Handicapping will outline your path to success. If you follow it, there is only
one possible consequence: WINNING.
A majority of Dick Mitchell's profits come from exacta wagering. this bet
is misplayed by over 98% of all handicappers. there are two pieces to this puzzle.
The first is handicapping the "Place Horse," and the second is learning
to use the proper betting strategy. On this ninety-minute tape, you'll find all the
information and knowledge needed to become a very successful exacta investor. You'll
learn to take advantage of the public's mistakes. You'll learn to distinguish among
false favorites, vulnerable favorites, and legitimate favorites. You'll learn what
the Place Horse looks like. You'll learn how to select your contenders for both win
and place and how to bet them appropriately. Less than 2% of all horseplayers know
how to bet the exacta correctly. You'll be one of this very small minority.
You'll also learn how to use the exacta as a strategic win or place bet. The
information contained on this tape will put you in a class with very few peers. Very
little of this information is contained in the literature of thoroughbred handicapping.
The discussion of false, vulnerable and legitimate favorites is more than worth the
price of this tape. It's wonderful to be able to eliminate an even-money favorite.
It does wonders for your attitude and wonderful things for your bankroll.
This skill is yours for the viewing.
Dick Mitchell is recognized a this country's foremost authority on the subject of
money management and betting strategy. This tape and the Commonsense Betting
Strategy tape detail and explain the fundamental principles of wagering. These
principles are absolute. Unlike the truth of handicapping, which is dynamic, the
truth of money management is absolute. It's mathematical truth. You need only
learn the principles of money management and betting strategy once. They'll serve you for
your entire handicapping career. You'll learn the answers to the fundamental
questions of when to bet, how to bet, what to bet and how
much to bet. You'll learn about the "Kelly Criterion." You'll
learn how to tell if a bet offers an edge or not. Once you know the fundamental
principles, you'll understand how to apply them to your advantage. This tape is one
of a kind. There is little in the literature to compare to the principles explained
on this tape. A must.
Form Factor Analysis
Dick Mitchell shares the latest ideas on current form or condition. The
"Form Factor" is probably one of the least understood factors in thoroughbred
handicapping. A horse can have all the ability in the world, and if he's not in
condition, it's wasted. You must be able to tell if a horse is going to
"bounce." You must know and be able to apply the modern standards of
recency. You must recognize and interpret workout data. You must understand
the concept of "form cycle." You must be aware of Form Angles such as
equipment changes, first-time Lasix, turf breeding and horses-for-courses. This tape
reveals the secrets of form analysis.
You'll master some really neat and profitable betting methods with this tape.
You'll learn to "reduce" betting situations. You'll learn to reduce
an exacta bet to a win bet. You'll learn to reduce a trifecta bet to an exacta bet.
You'll learn to reduce a daily double bet to a win bet. You'll learn how to
use the place and show pools to your advantage. In general, you'll learn how to
evaluate whether your bets are lucrative or whether they are silly. Never again will
you make a bet that doesn't offer you an edge. Mitchell will show you how to make a
fortune without changing your handicapping style. All you have to do is change your
betting style. This tape contains the "key to the mint." You'll be
amazed at the money you are now "leaving on the table."
Many handicapping books advise you to skip maiden races.
"RIDICULOUS!" says Dick Mitchell. Maiden races offer a wonderful
opportunity. Maiden races are actually very easy if you know what to look for.
There are a number of professional who only bet maidens. Maidens are actually
very consistent. Modern authors such as James Quinn, Mark Cramer, and Dick Mitchell
all agree maiden races offer the handicapper a wonderful opportunity for profit.
This tape reveals the secrets you need to succeed with maidens. You'll be surprised
how relatively easy these races really are. You'll look forward to maiden races in
doubles and triples. This tape will forever change your attitude about maidens.