First Post: Tuesday, February 6, 2018

Thank you, Annie Duke. Thank you. Horseplayers LOVE ‘resulting’. Nae, horseplayers FETISHIZE ‘RESULTING’. This is apparent if you ever watch even one race on the television and there’s an analyst paid to flap his mouth afterwards.

This is why so many horseplayers think there is a LESSON TO BE LEARNT AFTER EACH & EVERY RACE — THE PHENOMENON OF ‘RESULTING’. Yet, as Genius Annie here reminds us, there’s not always a lesson to be learnt, especially when there’s so much uncertainty and randomness involved. Indeed, it’s probably rare that there is a genuine lesson to be learnt. Chess, yes, there’s a lesson after each move. But poker, horseracing, sports-betting, not so much with the lessons. Do not ignore the role of uncertainty and the long run/string of outcomes when it comes to evaluating performance. THERE’s NOT ALWAYS A LESSON. Sorry, classical handicapping books and articles and columns…THERE’s NOT ALWAYS A LESSON. Sometimes there’s just variance and randomness and that’s OK, too. Write about a large sample of outcomes and expectations, not the ‘it-had-to-be-this-exact-way’ perfection of the one particular outcome that might actually be the outlier! Hoo-boy. Thank you, Annie Duke. We understand why you won a lot of money under conditions of great uncertainty. Undoubtedly you would make a winning horseplayer, too. Thank you, Annie Duke. You are welcome to visit this here Weblog any time you like. Thank you.

Fleet Frontrunners
Mahoning 7, 8
Keystone 1, 2, 10

Fast Final-Furlong Phantasms

Favorable Faves*
Mahoning 1, 5
Keystone 9
Sunland 1

Freakazoid Factories
Keystone 2, 5, 8

*-morning-line faves only; disbanded during 1973-74 season
-raceday scratches unavailable at press-time; available scratches current as of noon EST; pre shot-clock era

YESTERDAY’s Fine Finishes
-High-Octane Chancers doin’ it exclusively with All-In-One V6 and its LifeLiner Speed Column analysis and LifeLiner Spread Column analysis, without regard to operational definitions of faves or freakazoids; thank you!

Annie Duke, thank you. Thank you for making such excellent commentary.

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